While
President GMA may have noble intentions, her science of economis sometimes yields
to the arts of politics.
Therefore,
she is not expected - and she does not - make economic pronouncements that erodes
her political capital. We are not negative, nor anti-GMA when we present the other
side of the story.
For
instance, her latest SONA read like a praise hymn in a cathedral of converts was
really a FONA - a Future for the Nation Address, not reflective of her true, weak
state today.
So,
let's be honest that hey, we have to pull ourselves together more to get out of
this laggard stage the economy is in today - overtaken in growth rate by war-ravaged
Vietnam. Do not say the Poverty Incidence had gone down when a reputable private
sector survey says more people go hungry today than ever. Do not deny the fact
that "underemployment" today is a high 26% compared to 16-18% in other
years.
Let
us not tout about robust export growth rate. Be forthright and admit that our
two major exports - electronics and garments - are almost 100% dependent on imported
raw materials. We can't make chips yet and our textile industry is dead. And so
the economic impact is therefore not significant.
The
"development" in the Philippines is cosmetic. It is capital, not labor-intensive
which enriches the capitalists but hardly creates labor opportunities. The "development"
is concentrated within Manila and the rich environs of Calabarzon in the south
and Bulacan and Pampanga in the North - an argument for Federalism, indeed.
The
Philippines is an agricultural nation and agri accounts for 15-20% of the GDP
(Gross Domestic Product) but with a slow annual growth rate - our food production
threatened by cheaper imports abroad due to globalization.
Our
banking system, according to London-based Rating System Fitch has not been the
engine of development that it was created to be. Rating banks a poor "D"
and "E" categories, Fitch says our accounting system lacks integrity,
the balance sheets are weak due to banks' inter-related lending and generally
owned by closely-knit families which tend to lag behind in technology investment
because such move is capital intensive.
The
banking system is owned by 12 major banks controlling 77% of assets and together
with foreign banks account corner 93% of banking service. Fitch says a banking
cartel exists, which is not good in any other country or any industry for that
matter.
While
government tends to thrive on economic statistics, there are people-centered issues
that may question the value of priorities in governance. Education, the ticket
to a better future, did not have an Education Secretary for over a year until
Congressman Jesli Lapuz was recently appointed. Our education system is deteriorating
with half-baked graduates. From time to time, the integrity of our professional
exams is not under scrutiny.
Our
English, science and match proficiency is worsening by the year and there are
now more dropouts that don't finish with a degree at all. To top it all, no longer
are OFWs made up of mere domestic helpers, laborers, sea men and caregivers but
the best teachers, doctors, bankers and scientists we have simply because there
are not enough opportunities in the local market.
The
other issue of a high 2.3% annual population growth rate did not merit a paragraph
in the SONA. Yet it is a grave problem which produces many unproductive mouths
to feed and keeps the mothers for going after a productive economic activity while
tending to their kids.
Politically,
the fact remains that GMA has the lowest approval rating among all presidents
after Marcos - it is not a statement of the Opposition but by independent credible
survey makers. But in governing a nation, it is important that people row the
boat in the same direction - which is GMA's problem right now.
Until
the legitimacy issue is clearly settled and the COMELEC is cleaned up for future
elections or plebiscite, ours will be a divided nation that will cripple the growth
plans of even the brightest economist-president.
Finally,
while the present budget deficit woes may be licked - how long will this last?
With the mega-projects and the mega regions needing P1 trillion funds to complete
them in three years, how will our debt problem exacerbate then?
Today
- already 40% of the total Philippine budget is allocated to pay debt principal
and interest to the detriment of public service.
How
much more can we sustain a growth that is debt-propelled? How will that affect
sovereign risk rating or foreign exchange stability?
Those
issues must not be lost on those who prefer to remain in Cloud Nine rather than
carry the millstone around their shoulders.
And
tell folks, we have a long way to go. And we must all sacrifice. |