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Proem
Two
weeks ago the Philippines Government announced that in year
2007 the economy grew by 7.3% as computed from Gross Domestic
Product (GDP).
If
the economy was better in 2007, why are the Filipinos still
hard up? Let us see what happens if we compute using GNP instead
of GDP.
Economic
Measures
In
the 1920s and 1930s, Simon Kuznets developed a concept on
how to measure the economy. From Kuznets' theories were drawn
the concept of GNP and GDP. These concepts earned for him
the 1971 Nobel Prize in economics.
At
first the GNP, which has a broader scope, was used by the
U.S.A. However, when their national debts increased, the GNP
measure was no longer attractive. In 1991, the U.S.A. shifted
to the use of GDP, which has a little difference in approach.
Due to similar situation, the Philippines also used the GDP.
Gross
Domestic Product
GDP
is the market value of goods and services produced domestically
during a specific period of time. It do not regard whether
the laborer or owner of the capital is a citizen of a country
or a foreigner. Therefore the earnings of our OFW are not
included because it is not earned domestically. However, the
earnings of foreigners within the Philippines are included.
Gross
National Product
GNP
measures the output produced by the citizens of a country
whether earned within the country or outside the country.
The OFW earnings are now included.
To
balance the mathematical concept, the earnings of foreigners
in the Philippines, which is included in GDP must also be
subtracted.
Equation
The
equation for Gross National Product (GNP) is:
GNP
= GDP + earnings of Filipinos abroad - earnings of foreigners
in the Philippines
Take note that GNP is broader than GDP because GNP takes into
account the foreign earnings.
Comparison
The
earnings of our OFW were $8 billion. Add to it the earnings
of some Filipino businessmen abroad. Let us assume that the
total is $10 billion.
In
the Philippines, the foreigners own many businesses like the
following: The oil firms, car manufacturers, the MRT, the
cement factories, the "Call Centers," the LOTTO
game, most of the firms at the Export Processing Zones, etc.
Even in Bohol, the Bohol Light and Bohol Water have a foreign
shareholder.
If
you add all the earnings of foreigners in the Philippines,
it will exceed the $10 billion earned by Filipinos abroad.
The earnings of the oil firms alone can easily counterbalance
the $10 billion.
For
the sake of computation, let us assumes that the foreigner's
earnings in the Philippines are $30 billion. Then the equation
becomes,
GNP
= GDP + $10 - $30
GNP = GDP - $20
Since
we will subtract $20 from the GDP, it shows that the value
of GNP will be lower than GDP.
We
do not have the value of actual GDP. Since the budget of the
Philippines is P1 Trillion or about $25 billion, then we can
estimate that the GDP is somewhere near $25 billion. If we
use $25 billion as the GDP then the Philippines GNP is only
$5 billion or P200 billion. This will be the money circulating
in the Philippines because the $20 billion or P800 billion
is sent abroad as earnings of the foreigners.
Now
you can see that if we use GNP as the measure of our economy,
the situation is very grim. That is why we are placated by
the government by using GDP and tell us that the economy is
good but we could not understand how it is good when in fact
the people are hard up.
How
About Our Foreign Debt?
Strictly
speaking our payment for our foreign debt ought to be included
as earnings of foreigners in the Philippines. If we subtract
further our foreign debt payments you can see how grim indeed
is our economy. I'm pretty sure that these are not included
in the computations because it can be reasoned out that it
is similar to "stock transactions" that are not
included in the computation because they are mere transfer
of ownerships and not productions.
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