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Perhaps
egged by the histrionics of American politics and the positioning
of senators for the 2010 presidential derby in the past couple
of days, several e-mail writers, both here and abroad, prodded
us to come up with our own forecast of the next local polls
believing us to be a true-blue political animal too.
The
prodding was not only tempting. It was also irresistible because
truly, the political inclination and the body language of
the local incumbents as well as those politicians who are
still in a state of suspended animation will help us understand
the electoral direction that they are charting.
For
lack of material space and for purposes of brevity, we shall
classify this political forecast cum subjective analysis to
be the dream scenario in 2010. Others may consider this to
be far from reality but it does not necessarily mean that
this is impossible. Politics, after all, is the art of possibilities.
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Taking
into consideration the looming creation of a new 4th district
in Bohol, a three-cornered gubernatorial fight is not far-fetched.
Of
course, outgoing 1st District Rep. Edgar M. Chatto has undeniably
cast his moist eyes for the top post of the province and must
lead a complete campaign slate en route to the Capitol in
2010. Ripe for his picking as running mate is another outgoing
solon, Roberto Cajes, of the second district or former Rep.
Eladio Jala of the third district. Cajes acquiescence would
largely depend upon the accommodation of wife, Baby who is
now Trinidad mayor, in the second district congressional race.
After all, outgoing Gov. Erico Aumentado can also go back
to his turf in that district.
The
best scenario for Rep. Chatto's gubernatorial bid is to have
Vice Gov. Julius Herrera take over his post in the first district.
Otherwise, if Herrera sticks to his own game plan and form
his own ticket too, Chatto's brother Efren or wife Pureza,
would stand out to carry the surname in the polls gauged on
the Jala experience in the third district between the father
and son exchange. City Vice-Mayor Toto Veloso would then be
a hands down choice for the city mayoralty race in the Chatto
express.
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If
Vice Gov. Herrera forms his own ticket, it would be wise maneuver
to get Provincial Administrator Tomas Abapo Jr. as his running
mate. Abapo is not only an influential figure in the Aumentado
camp, he also commands awesome influence not only in the second
district being the incumbent little governor.
In
Herrera's ticket, Chito Castillo may be considered for the
first congressional post due to his clan's reverberating influence.
Outgoing Mayor Jimmy Torrefranca of Sagbayan would be too
willing to waggle the Herrera banner in the second district.
Prodding former Gov. Rene Relampagos for a much-needed rematch
with Adam Jala in the third district to settle the issue once
and for all is a good item in Herrera's action plan.
With
Veloso as a shoo-in for the city mayoralty race under Chatto's
ticket, Herrera may pick either incumbent Mayor Dan Lim or
"Smokin' Joe" Torralba, to redeem his lost glory
in 2004.
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Then
a third force may finally succeed in getting the nod of movie
actor and director Cesar Montano to join the gubernatorial
race. For sure, Montano's slate would be up for consideration
by businessman Angelo Balili.
Come-backing
Conching Lim would not be a remote possibility as Montano's
running mate if Loay Mayor Mae Imboy waives such right in
exchange for fielding, either herself or husband Boy Imboy
who is a two-term PCL president, in the third district congressional
fight. Businesswoman Purita Ramirez-Soliven can level the
playing field in the first district in Montano's slate. Ditto
for second district's political heavyweight, Roygie Jumamoy
who, for quite a period of time now, showed a lot of patience
in taking the congressional crown long overdue to her.
With
his flamboyant politics and an election strategy that he himself
understands, it would not be remote for City Mayor Dan Lim
to join this women-powered Montano slate especially if all
the seats are apparently taken.
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For
comments and suggestions, just e-mail to the following e-mail
addresses: obiter@boholchronicle.com
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