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The
Government's own Statistical Office has confirmed Filipinos
are poorer today than five years ago (2003).
This
belies the Palace and the local drum beaters baseless claim
that poverty is being licked.
Last
week, the NSCB (National Statistical Coordination Board) released
Poverty Statistics saying that as of 2006 more Filipinos (4.7
million) were considered poor compared to only (4.0 million)
in 2003. Those Filipinos considered poor rose from only 24.4%
in 2003 to 26.9% in 2006.
"Poor"
is defined as people who "cannot sustain their basic
needs as food, health, education and housing." In parallel
vein, the "food poor" or those who can barely eat
rose from 1.7 million in 2003 to 1.9 million in 2006.
Will
the Government now close its own statistical office for "telling
the truth" about poverty in the country?
Even
if we grant the annual population growth of 2.5% per annum,
the total of the poverty level should not have reached 4.7
million in 2006. That only means more people are getting poorer
by the year, despite government propaganda. The threshold
of "poverty" in the Philippines for a family of
5 is P6,274 a month. Any family of five earning less than
that is at the "poverty level." Look around you
and see for yourself how true the statistics are.
But
admittedly, population growth rate can also be a factor in
affecting poverty levels. For instance, the average GDP economic
growth (2000-2006) of the Philippines of 5.4% - given the
2.5% population per annum - is really just 3.0% effectively.
NEDA,
the top Government Economic Planner, admitted that in 2006,
the rise in prices (that impacts the poor) was largely caused
by the implementation of the increase of the VAT from 10 to
12%. In other words, in exchange for improving the image of
the country's ability to borrow some more debt (fiscal stability
day sic to VAT), Juan de la Cruz had to bite the bullet. Is
that fair and equitable?
Many
analysts in the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank and
the Makati Business Club are of the opinion that one of the
reasons for grinding poverty in the Philippines is the level
of pervading corruption - the country has been named the "most
corrupt nation in Asia."
Corruption
siphons away from the beneficiaries (Filipinos) many social
services like food, medicine, livelihood, financing and housing
into the pockets of kleptocrats. For instance, the alleged
P6.5-billion ZTE-NBN kickback is more than half of the entire
government budget for the Department of Health (DOH) and more
than five times the entire budget of the Philippine General
Hospital (PGH). The money would have paid for more than 49,000
open heart surgeries, 325,000 cataract surgeries and purchase
antibiotics for at least 6.5 million Filipinos.
Now
they would be in the hands of a few Greedy Plus-Plus.
Even
administration senatorial ally Edgardo Angara had confirmed
that the country loses about P20 billion every year to corrupted
deals.
This
comes close to the estimated losses due to corruption of P21
billion by the Makati Business Club based on the P105-billion
infrastructure budget last year. This is further corroborated
by the Word Bank in its study (Combating Corruption in the
Philippines) that based on the (Lozada version) 20% "Permissible
Corruption Commission," the country lost P24.5 billion
(2007) and will lose P29.5 billion(2008). Is it interesting
to note that the ZTE-NBN deal alone, the alleged bribe money
reached an astounding P6.5 billion.
Independent
statistics on Corruption are now beginning to confirm one
another.
Asian
Development Bank (ADB) Chief Economist Ifzal Ali confirmed
that declining public infrastructure (emaciated by large scale
graft) increases the cost of doing business in the country,
making the Philippines uncompetitive. If foreign investment
shies away from the country, then no jobs are created - abetting
poverty.
This
lack of investment also reduces the tax base of the country
- the capitalists and labor. The ADB this week released a
book on: Philippines: Critical Development Concerns and specifically
cited corruption in governance as the reason there is little
private investment in the country.
There
is indeed an umbilical cord that ties corruption and poverty
in any country.
Unlike
the laughable DTI secretary Peter Favila who believes his
own propaganda, the country is actually one of the least investment-attractive
nations in the Far East. For instance, for 2001-2006, RP only
had Foreign Investments total of (US$1.1 billion) compared
to Thailand (US$6.1 billion) and Malaysia (US$4.0 billion).
This was, according to the ADB, partly due to the low industrial
base of RP as a percentage of GDP.
Manufacturing
as a % of GDP was only 23.5% for RP, 34.8% for Thailand and
30.6% for Malaysia. Our road network is only one-fourth of
that of Malaysia and only one-sixth that of Thailand while
our per capita electric consumption is only one-third of Thailand
and one-eight of Malaysia because electric power cost if high.
Who
will indeed invest in the country?
ADB's
chief economist Ali says that the 7.3% GDP growth of RP last
year (2007) may not be sustained. Every economist worth his
charts know that the growth was largely driven by Government
"expenditure" since it was election year. Being
a "mercenary" money, the expenditure did not create
economic efficiencies but increased money velocity - which
is inflationary. (They are now revising the GDP targets for
2008 to below 6.0% on a non-election year.)
Thus
one likewise saw a January inflation shot up to 5.4%, one
of the highest in many quarters for the country. Because of
this the United Nations World Food Program country director
Valerie Guarnerie had sounded the alarm (Philippine Star March
8, 2008 issue) RP may have to subsidize more food for more
poor people soon. The UN is already providing food for 1.1
poor Filipinos today.
In
the same study, the ADB was surprised to conclude that the
country seems to be losing mostly skilled workers to the OFW
market every year shown by the pattern of remittances statistics
centered likewise to Metro Manila beneficiaries. Thus the
trickle down effect to those who need the most in the rural
areas may not be felt, the ADB concluded.
The
US$12 billion in annual OFW remittances has been one of the
most dependable adjunct in keeping the Philippine economy
and the Philippine peso afloat.
People
conclude that opulent lifestyle in a poor country can only
be sustained with graft.
It
is disgusting to note some people declare that their hearts
bleed for the poor and gofor
anti-poverty gimmicks but actually steal and participate in
defrauding the coffers of government by influence and policy
peddling and the SOP (standard operating procedure for graft)
system.
If
they still have the heart to note, the country is burning
as the worsening poverty statistics above would show. They
should stop fiddling their violins on the ruins of a distressed,
impoverished nation.
The
above analysis clearly shows Filipinos should not ignore the
crusade against government corruption because unlike what
Government claims, it is one of the major roots not the effect
of widespread poverty.
Can
it get any clearer than this?
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