| There
is a monumental reason to rejoice in that the feared Great Depression II never
came to pass. Despite doomsday soothsayers,saying that it will. Thank
the gods that our economy is no longer export-dependent (sugar, coconut, copper
etc.)- as in the American Parity times - so the recent global financial contagion
did not really break our backs. We have, instead, a buoyant domestic
economy that keeps the spokes of the economic wheels sturdy. This is courtesy
of the 10 million OFWs that send US $ 18-Billion in remittances annually that
fuels spending - and which is more than twice the Philippine budget deficit .
When the ripples of a feared recession hit New York and cascaded worldwide- there
were no hordes of Filipinos OFWS losing their jobs and coming home through the
airports and seaports. Instead, our "modern-day" heroes simply
saved more abroad-so they could send more "bread" to their loved ones
in the country , who felt threatened that there might be a backlash from the global
crisis. Lucky our stars that our dealings with European Union (EU) is
no big deal compared to our USA-Japan engagements for the former is in deep
financial turmoil.The continent housing the richest consumers have countries with
mountains of debts. Spain, the 9th largest world economy, is in trouble
with unemployment hitting a huge 20% (compared to our 2008-2009 7% and 8%). In
similar dire straits are Greece, Portugal,and Ireland which can pull down the
average growth of the EU southwards- certainly a 1% growth that is less than what
the USA is experiencing now. Luckier again our stars that (our main partner)
the USA -her recovery today is considered "firm" because it is fueled
both by consumerism and new investments in plant and equipment. Nothing hollow
there. Doubtless, Washingston will remain our economic and political ally
in this side of the globe (espcially against the tide of terorism). RP should
therefore deftly optimize the alchemy of these two variegated goals to exact the
best relational terms with Washington. The dualism of our foreign affairs
policy should be such that we must consider China to be our natural geographic
ally who has been eyeing the development of our billions of untapped natural and
oil resources. China is known to provide soft loans to those countries she does
commerical trade with -for the construction of roads, bridges and sea ports. No
more ZTEs, of course. That should solve part of our infrastructure
shortfalls Let us keep her in mind. China's demand for minerals and commodities
is almost insatiable-and maybe new constitutional changes in that area should
be in the works to enhance Philipppine economic interest, LGU concerns and employment
of residents in the area where mining or drilling activities would occur.
There are also new global developments where RP can certainly take some cue
from. This involves Africa, Indonesia and Malaysia. People had heretofore
looked down at Africa as a god-forsaken Continent of the Great Unwashed. However,
through a massive education program of their women, she has been able to provide
a great "production base" . Its trade relations with China , of course,
had helped. By 2020 Africa will have produced 1.2-Billion in productively
employable persons and 1 of every 5 youth in the world will be Africans by then
-providing an extraordinary market for goods indeed. This is where RP
must read the signages well. TESDA and its training for hairdressing, cellphone
repair, car repair, garments making etc are good entrepreneurial kick-offs. But
RP should also develop -other than the call centers and medical transcriptionists-
a manufacturing base able to work in foreign factories to be set up here.
Someone must be in charge of setting up a radar for this piece of industrial intelligence
work. As the economists postulate "One cannot develop economically
without teaching the other 50% of the population (women) to be productive."
Our women must bear less children to have more time for productive work outside
the home. According to NEWSWEEK magazine, the last years saw the potential
of new economic leaders - a second layer- in the so-called BRIC (Brazil ,Russia,
India and China). Notice that they are heavily populated places. Now they
are talking of ABICI (Africa, Brazil, India, China and Indonesia). It would be
interesting to study if aside from having oil and a huge populace- what has Indonesia
done differently this time to be co categorized in that league? And then
there is Malaysia. Smaller than the Philippines-Malaysia has parlayed its great
infrastructure, steady politics and tourist sites to become the 9th most traveled
to nation of earth with 20 million tourists - the only Asian country aside from
China in the Top Ten. Compare that to RP's 3 million tourists.Surely, we have
much better and more varied tourist spots than Malaysia. What
can Tourism Secretary Bertie Lim add to this? There is one more item that
perhaps tjhe Pnoy Government can take a page from in the wisdom put forward by
United Nations Secretary General Ban Kimoon who warned the world's biggest economies
in making the poorest of the world bear the brunt of plans to slash public debt
and budget deficit. In Philippine terms, in the same vein, that means
"balancing budget deficits" as GMA once dreamed about must never be
in the Pnoy's economic agenda in the next 6 years. Because that can also
mean that a Third World people like us, destitute as we already are, may be further
deprived of the basic social and economic services of good governance in the futille
effort of Government to match revenues and expenditures. It is enough
that we only meet judicious ratios on deficit/GDP or debt/GDP- good ratings of
which would always make foreign credit available to the country to finance our
growth. The surge of Indonesia and Malaysia -and to a certain extent Africa-
gives the Philippines some hope -that it can be done. Now that the political
blessing of a huge mandate has been obtained, it is time to address the brass
tacks of socio-economic development.

*
* * * * For Comments: email to
bingo_dejaresco@boholchronicle.com Or editor@boholchronicle.com
|